Martingale Strategy for Blackjack

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The Martingale betting strategy is used most often with roulette betting.  However, because it is a betting system, it can be employed with any game of chance.

The Martingale betting system was developed to bet on outcomes that have a 50/50 chance of occurrence, like the flip of a coin.  However it has been adapted for use in the gambling games of blackjack and roulette.  In roulette, you’d use it on bets like black/red, or odd/even.

The basics of the system is that you stay with your original bet as long as you win but you double your bet size when you lose and then you go back to your original bet once you win again. As you might imagine, your success with this system would depend on the way the cards are running.  If the cards are running hot for you (a winning streak) you can make a modest profit.  However, if the cards are producing a losing streak for you, it could get costly very quickly. 

Let’s look at some examples.  The tables below look at if you’re playing at a $5 minimum table, and you run into short or longer winning streaks or losing streaks:

WINNING STREAKS

HandBet AmountWin/LoseAmount Won/LossCumulative Profit/Loss
15Lose-5-5
210Win105
35Win510
45Lose-55
510Win1015
65Win520
75Lose-515
810Win1025
95Win530
105Lose-525
Total Amount Bet65
2 Hand winning streak – After 10 hands, you’ve bet $65 to win $25
HandBet AmountWin/LoseAmount Won/LossCumulative Profit/Loss
15Lose-5-5
210Win105
35Win510
45Win515
55Lose-510
610Win1020
75Win525
85Win530
95Lose-525
1010Win1035
Total Amount Bet65
3 Hand winning streak – After 10 hands, you’ve bet $65, to win $35
HandBet AmountWin/LoseAmount Won/LossCumulative Profit/Loss
15Lose-5-5
210Win105
35Win510
45Win515
55Win520
65Lose-515
710Win1025
85Win530
95Win535
105Win540
Total Amount Bet60
4 Hand winning streak – After 10 hands, you’ve bet $60, to win $40

  LOSING STREAKS

HandBet AmountWin/LoseAmount Won/LossCumulative Profit/Loss
15Win55
25Lose-50
310Lose-10-10
420Win2010
55Lose-55
610Lose-10-5
720Win2015
85Lose-510
910Lose-100
1020Win2020
Total Amount Bet110
2 Hand losing streak – After 10 hand, you’ve bet $110, to win $20
HandBet AmountWin/LoseAmount Won/LossCumulative Profit/Loss
15Win55
25Lose-50
310Lose-10-10
420Lose-20-30
540Win4010
65Lose-55
710Lose-10-5
820Lose-20-25
940Win4015
105Lose-510
Total Amount Bet160
3 Hand losing streak – After 10 hands, you’ve bet $160, to win $10
HandBet AmountWin/LoseAmount Won/LossCumulative Profit/Loss
15Win55
25Lose-50
310Lose-10-10
420Lose-20-30
540Lose-40-70
680Win8010
75Lose-55
810Lose-10-5
920Lose-20-25
1040Lose-40-65
Total Amount Bet235
4 Hand losing streak – After 10 hands, you’ve bet $235, to lose $65

As you look at these tables (very simple examples for demonstration purposes), the system will provide a small profit with not a large total amount bet, if you can run into a winning streak of hands.

The problem with the system is if the cards are running bad and you fall into a losing streak.  You can quickly spend a lot of money and still end up losing a decent amount of money.  Basically, it takes only losing 2 hands in a row to start to get in trouble with this betting system.

Reality of Use

Because it’s more likely than not that you’ll run into a losing streak, (after all, the odds in winning are against you from the start) you’ll need a large initial bankroll to use the Martingale system properly.

At the minimum $5 bet, if you lose just 5 bets in a row, your sixth bet would have to be $160. As a casual gambler, you probably came to the casino with $300-$500 for the night. So, after 5 hands, you’re going to be betting half your bankroll.  Also, table limits will stop your ability to double your previous bet as a losing streak continues, so you won’t make the expected return when you finally win.

It can quickly become a costly system if the cards are unfavorable.  If the cards are favorable, it doesn’t really account for that favorable advantage because you never increase your minimal bet win things are good.  At best, you make a modest profit when the cards are running good.

Final Thoughts

I think you only hear people talk about the Martingale betting system and don’t see them using it is because in reality, it can’t be used.  It can get very expensive and even if money were no limit to you as a player, the limits a casino places on their games, will limit your ability to continually double losing bets.  It is best used in short runs of hands, to limit your losses. Remember, you will probably have more losing hands because the odds are against you anyway. 

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